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USACE Engineering Pamphlets CD 2 - index
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> EP 1110-2-7
Hydrologic Risk
Foreword - EP-1110-2-70002
Summary
Introduction - EP-1110-2-70004
What is risk
How is the probability of flooding estimated
Observation of what has happened in the past
Fig. 1. Results of Rolling a Die
Fig. 2. Distribution of Annual Maximum Flow
To plot a statistical distribution
Fig. 3. Estimates of Probability of Rolling a 6
To illustrate the impact of a small sample
Fig. 4. Estimates of 0.01-probability Flow, Dam River
What does this mean to you
The selected project scale may, in fact, not be the best over the long term
EP 1110-2-7